FanPost

Super 16 Simulation of Playoffs

Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

So the analysts (13 in total) at NHL.com decided to rank, using their Super 16 point system, the top remaining players from each position heading into the playoffs. Each player received a certain amount of points based on where analysts ranked them on their respective position list. They also included a team ranked list. Here are the links to those articles.

Team

https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-teams-in-contention-to-win-stanley-cup-rankings/c-317088116

Center

www.nhl.comSuper 16: Top centers playing in Stanley Cup Qualifiers

Left Wing

www.nhl.comWeb resultsSuper 16: Top left wings playing in Stanley Cup Qualifiers

Right Wing

www.nhl.comSuper 16: Top right wings playing in Stanley Cup Qualifiers

Defence

www.nhl.comSuper 16: Top defensemen playing in Stanley Cup Qualifiers

Goaltender

www.nhl.comWeb resultsSuper 16: Top goalies playing in Stanley Cup Qualifiers

As you can see below, I collected all of the provided data and applied the total points to each of the remaining NHL teams.

Accumulation of Super 16 Points

Arizona (171)

  • Taylor Hall (82)
  • Darcy Kuemper (49)
  • Phil Kessel (35)
  • Clayton Keller (3)
  • Oliver Ekman-Larsson (2)
  • Team Score (0)

Boston (1032)

  • Tuukka Rask (202)
  • Team Score (201)
  • Brad Marchand (192)
  • David Pastrnak (182)
  • Patrice Bergeron (167)
  • Charlie McAvoy (41)
  • Torey Krug (24)
  • Jaroslav Halak (15)
  • Zdeno Chara (5)
  • David Krejci (3)

Calgary (303)

  • Johnny Gaudreau (113)
  • Mark Giordano (88)
  • Matthew Tkachuk (85)
  • Team Score (11)
  • David Rittich (4)
  • Cam Talbot (2)

Carolina (361)

  • Jaccob Slavin (85)
  • Teuvo Teravainen (76)
  • Team Score (64)
  • Andrei Svechnikov (63)
  • Dougie Hamilton (35)
  • Sebastian Aho (27)
  • Justin Williams (11)

Chicago (244)

  • Patrick Kane (175)
  • Jonathan Toews (29)
  • Corey Crawford (23)
  • Duncan Keith (9)
  • Alex DeBrincat (4)
  • Dominik Kubalik (4)
  • Team Score (0)

Colorado (668)

  • Nathan McKinnon (171)
  • Team Score (164)
  • Mikko Rantanen (135)
  • Gabriel Landeskog (92)
  • Cale Makar (86)
  • Pavel Francouz (17)
  • Phillip Grubauer (3)

Columbus (283)

  • Seth Jones (124)
  • Team Score (54)
  • Elvis Merslikins (53)
  • Zach Werenski (32)
  • Joonas Korpisalo (12)
  • Cam Atkinson (6)
  • Nick Foligno (1)
  • Oliver Bjorkstrand (1)

Dallas (356)

  • Ben Bishop (141)
  • Team Score (96)
  • John Klingberg (33)
  • Jamie Benn (31)
  • Miro Heiskanen (31)
  • Anton Khudobin (14)
  • Alexander Radulov (5)
  • Corey Perry (2)
  • Joe Pavelski (2)
  • Tyler Seguin (1)

Edmonton (453)

  • Connor McDavid (199)
  • Leon Draisaitl (147)
  • Team Score (84)
  • Oscar Klefbom (10)
  • Mike Smith (7)
  • Kailer Yamamoto (5)
  • Mikko Koskinen (1)

Florida (257)

  • Jonathan Huberdeau (130)
  • Aleksander Barkov (59)
  • Sergei Bobrovsky (42)
  • Mike Hoffman (16)
  • Evgenii Dadonov (5)
  • Team Score (4)
  • Aaron Ekblad (1)

Minnesota (103)

  • Ryan Suter (68)
  • Zach Parise (18)
  • Kevin Fiala (14)
  • Mats Zuccarello (3)
  • Team Score (0)

Montreal (221)

  • Carey Price (116)
  • Shea Weber (81)
  • Tomas Tatar (12)
  • Brenden Gallagher (12)
  • Team Score (0)

Nashville (308)

  • Roman Josi (194)
  • Filip Forsberg (68)
  • Team Score (29)
  • Pekka Rinne (16)
  • Juuse Saros (1)

New York I (65)

  • Team Score (37)
  • Semyon Varlamov (12)
  • Anders Lee (7)
  • Jordan Eberle (6)
  • Mathew Barzal (3)

New York R (259)

  • Artemi Panarin (191)
  • Mika Zibanejad (39)
  • Igor Shesterkin (13)
  • Team Score (11)
  • Chris Kreider (5)

Philadelphia (349)

  • Team Score (124)
  • Carter Hart (73)
  • Jakub Voracek (56)
  • Sean Couturier (40)
  • Travis Konecny (37)
  • Ivan Provorov (16)
  • James Van Riemsdyk (3)

Pittsburgh (801)

  • Sidney Crosby (198)
  • Kris Letang (140)
  • Evgeni Malkin (137)
  • Team Score (125)
  • Jake Guentzel (101)
  • Tristan Jarry (57)
  • Bryan Rust (23)
  • Matt Murray (20)

St. Louis (763)

  • Team Score (186)
  • Jordan Binnington (151)
  • Alex Pietrangelo (142)
  • Vladmir Tarasenko (87)
  • Ryan O’Riley (85)
  • Colton Parayko (52)
  • David Perron (50)
  • Jaden Schwartz (10)

Tampa Bay (877)

  • Victor Hedman (202)
  • Team Score (191)
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy (187)
  • Nikita Kucherov (180)
  • Steven Stamkos (101)
  • Brayden Point (9)
  • Ondrej Palat (5)
  • Alex Killorn (2)

Toronto (487)

  • Mitch Marner (130)
  • Auston Matthews (109)
  • Frederik Andersen (80)
  • John Tavares (76)
  • Team Score (49)
  • William Nylander (32)
  • Morgan Reilly (11)

Vancouver (182)

  • Quinn Hughes (56)
  • Jakob Markstrom (52)
  • Brock Boeser (40)
  • Elias Pettersen (16)
  • Team Score (15)
  • Tyler Toffoli (3)

Vegas (544)

  • Team Score (135)
  • Mark Stone (127)
  • Max Pacioretty (120)
  • Marc-Andre Fleury (104)
  • Robin Lehner (41)
  • Shea Theodore (8)
  • Nate Schmidt (5)
  • Paul Stastny (4)

Washington (749)

  • Alex Ovechkin (202)
  • John Carlson (185)
  • Team Score (155)
  • Braden Holtby (77)
  • Nicklas Backstrom (71)
  • T.J. Oshie (46)
  • Tom Wilson (6)
  • Jakub Vrana (5)
  • Evgeny Kuznetsov (2)

Winnipeg (633)

  • Connor Hellebuyck (184)
  • Blake Wheeler (123)
  • Kyle Connor (106)
  • Patrick Laine (90)
  • Mark Scheifele (75)
  • Team Score (30)
  • Nikolaj Ehlers (23)
  • Josh Morrissey (2)

Now, it must be noted that there are many factors that are not at play here. There was no specific ranking for coaching staff, or for the player depth of each franchise. The points that each team got were mostly dependent on their apparent game changers.

With these point accumulations, I then ran a mock simulation where whichever team had more points would advance (or rank higher in Round Robin). These are the results based of that simulation.

Eastern Round Robin Seeding

  1. Boston
  2. Tampa Bay
  3. Washington
  4. Philadelphia

Eastern Play In Round Results

Pittsburgh defeats Montreal

Carolina defeats New York R

Florida defeats New York I

Toronto defeats Columbus

Eastern Quarterfinals

Boston defeats Florida

Tampa Bay defeats Toronto

Washington defeats Carolina

Pittsburgh defeats Philadelphia

Eastern Semi Finals

Boston defeats Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay defeats Washington

Eastern Conference Finals

Boston defeats Tampa Bay

Western Round Robin Seeding

  1. St. Louis
  2. Colorado
  3. Vegas
  4. Dallas

Western Play In Round Results

Edmonton defeats Chicago

Nashville defeats Arizona

Vancouver defeats Minnesota

Winnipeg defeats Calgary

Western Quarterfinals

St. Louis defeats Winnipeg

Colorado defeats Vancouver

Vegas defeats Nashville

Edmonton defeats Dallas

Western Semi Finals

St. Louis defeats Edmonton

Colorado defeats Vegas

Western Conference Finals

St. Louis defeats Colorado

Stanley Cup Final

Boston defeats St. Louis

For the Bruins, what shocks me isn’t where they finish, it’s the number of overall points they were given by the NHL.com analysts. Tampa Bay was the second highest ranked team by this point system with 877 points. Boston crushes that total with a whopping 1032 points.

The better news here is that, as I said before, coaching and team depth were not specifically ranked. If they were, we would be cashing in even more points with our recent Jack Adams nominee and our always reliable team depth.

Although a Stanley Cup Final rematch against St. Louis would be fantastic, the team that stood out to me in the west was Winnipeg. If you take away the Team article rankings, Winnipeg has more points from its players than any other Western team, even St. Louis and Colorado. The question is then, "Why did the NHL.com analysts rank Winnipeg so low as a team?"

I wouldn’t take this simulation seriously by any means, but it sure is nice to see Boston so heavily favoured. It’ll be interesting to see how the actually results match up with what was tallied here.

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